China’s Dominance in Low-Carbon Hydrogen Production
China Takes the Lead in Electrolyser Deployment
China has made impressive strides in the deployment of electrolysers, signaling a notable shift in the global landscape. The IEA’s report on hydrogen highlights China’s emergence as a frontrunner in the field.
In 2020, China accounted for a mere 10 percent of the world’s electrolyser capacity. However, by the end of 2023, it is projected to control a staggering 50 percent, equivalent to 1.2 gigawatts, of the global capacity.
The Role of Electrolysers in Green Energy Transition
Electrolysers are critical devices in the green energy transition. They facilitate the industrial separation of hydrogen and oxygen within water molecules, powered by electricity derived from renewable sources such as solar, wind, or nuclear energy.
These devices are indispensable in replacing conventional methods of industrial hydrogen production, which rely on methane gas—a process linked to the petrochemical industry and associated with both cost-efficiency and greenhouse gas emissions.
Low-Carbon Hydrogen Production Potential
The IEA envisions the production of low-carbon hydrogen reaching 38 million tonnes by 2030, provided that all announced projects are successfully executed. This optimistic outlook aligns with the global shift towards cleaner energy sources.
Challenges on the Horizon
Despite the promising growth in low-carbon hydrogen production, the IEA underscores some challenges. Rising equipment costs due to inflation have placed certain projects at risk and have diminished the impact of government support for deployment.
Several projects have had to revise their initial cost estimates upward, by as much as 50 percent, according to the IEA.
Additionally, the slow transition from traditionally produced grey hydrogen to green hydrogen remains a concern on a global scale. Low-emission hydrogen constituted less than one percent of global demand in 2022, contributing to 900 million tonnes of equivalent carbon dioxide emissions.